2022 Emmy-Winner Predictions: Our Final Picks in Each Category

After months of campaigning, and in some cases more than a year since the nominated shows aired, it should be easy to make predictions about the Emmy winners. But with several previous winners going head-to-head for the first time, some clever exit strategies put on shows very in the minds of voters, and far too many nominees Succession actors to follow, the choices are trickier the closer you look. Our Awards Insider team, however, did their best, predicting the winners, as well as who could win and who should win – in all categories to be announced at the Primetime Emmy Awards on Monday, September 12.

drama series

You better call Saul
squid game
stranger things
yellow jackets

As with much of the TV industry these days, this category really boils down to HBO versus Netflix. Will the prestige TV hitmaker reign again with Succession, which won the last time it was eligible? Or Netflix, which finally won this category for the first time last year with The crown, hang in there with her surprise global hit squid game, or maybe even leave the Emmy favorite ozark? We always give the advantage to Succession– after all, Emmy voters never felt the need to ditch HBO game of thrones, even for its disappointing final season, but given the industry excitement around squid game, a surprise seems very possible. —Katey Rich

Predicted winner: Succession
Could win: squid game
Should Win: Breakup

Lead Actor in a Drama Series

Jason Batman, ozark
Brian Cox, Succession
Lee Jung-jae, squid game
Bob Odenkerk, You better call Saul
Adam Scott, Breakup
Jeremy Strong, Succession

The only real one-thousand-to-one hit in this stacked category is Adam Scott. (Sorry, mate, it’s an honor to be nominated, isn’t it?) Otherwise, every actor in attendance is making the case for the gold medal, perhaps especially Jason Bateman and Bob Odenkirk, who have both been nominated year after year for playing signing. roles in beloved shows that have come to an end. (Okay, so technically Odenkirk will be eligible in 2023 for the final six episodes of Saul– but with these latest installments now fresh in the minds of voters, now seems to be its best shot.) Even so, these pillars seem likely to be overlooked one last time in favor of one of the Successionmain men or Lee Jung-jae, the emotional anchor of Squid game. Whether Succession wins best drama – and it looks like it will – the academy will likely award this category to Lee as a way to honor both his performance and squid gameoverall achievement. Whether squid game wins Best Drama, Best Actor will almost certainly go instead to a member of the Roy family, likely Brian Cox, since Jeremy Strong won for the show’s final season. All accomplished actors… but seriously, what does Bob Odenkirk have to do to get a fucking Emmy?! —Hillary Busis

Predicted winner: Lee Jung-jae, squid game
Could win: Brian Cox, Succession
Should Win: Bob Odenkerk, You better call Saul

Lead Actress in a Drama Series

Jodie Comer, Kill Eve
Laura Linney, ozark
Melanie Lynskey, yellow jackets
Sandra Oh, Kill Eve
Reese Witherspoon, The morning show
Zendaya, Euphoria

This category seems to come down to the thread every year – Zendaya narrowly edging out Laura Linney in 2020, Olivia Colman upsetting her Crown costar Emma Corrin last year and Monday night will be no different. Zendaya defends her title for Euphorias widely embraced second season, with Linney competitive again for a flashy finale on Ozark. But the real spoiler here is Lynskey. The yellow jackets star won the hearts of critics and voters alike, and ran the kind of campaign — honest, serious, witty — that’s hard to resist. A long-respected Hollywood companion, she’s finally had her moment — and voters can very well honor her. —David Canfield

Predicted winner: Melanie Lynskey, yellow jackets
Could win: Zendaya, Euphoria
Should Win: Melanie Lynskey, yellow jackets

Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

Nicholas Brown, Succession
Billy Crudup, The morning show
Kieran Culkin, Succession
Park Hae-soo, squid game
Matthew Macfadyen, Succession
Christopher Walken, Breakup
John Turturro, Breakup
Oh Yeong-su, squid game

The Succession versus. squid game the narrative extends well beyond the race for best drama and is alive and well in the supporting actor category. There’s a chance that 77-year-old Oh Yeong-su will land this for his performance in squid game like the seemingly harmless old man, but it really seems like a two-man race between Successionby Kieran Culkin and Matthew Macfadyen. The two delivered impressive and nuanced performances in the HBO juggernaut’s third season, but we bet voters will want to reward Culkin for his ability to turn Roman Roy from sneaky troublemaker to vulnerable son and brother this season. —Rebecca Ford